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🗞️ "Sell a kidney if you must"

But keep the Bitcoin!

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Hello, this is Coinscript.

In today’s episode:

  • ✍️ “Sell a kidney if you must, but keep the Bitcoin.”

TOP STORY

“Sell a kidney if you must, but keep the Bitcoin.”

Saylor said it, not us!

But, really… What are the expectations for the coming weeks?

1. More Short-Term Pain (Sorry)

Let’s be real — the vibes are bearish with a side of panic right now. Bitcoin breaking below $80K opens the door for a slide to that $76K-$78K target everyone’s been whispering about since December. Why? Because:

  • The CME gap at $78K is practically begging to be filled.

  • Institutions are still de-risking (a fancy way to say they’re running for the exits).

  • Options traders are switching from bullish calls to bearish puts — meaning they’re betting on more downside.

  • ETF outflows aren’t slowing down anytime soon, especially if macro fears (tariffs, rates, recession worries) keep TradFi players on edge.

Translation: Expect more red candles, more liquidations, and more painful dip-buying attempts. 🩸

2. Altcoins = Maximum Suffering

When Bitcoin sneezes, altcoins get thrown out the window.

If BTC chills anywhere under $80K for too long, ETH under $2K is almost a lock.

Solana, XRP, and all the other shiny toys will likely bleed even harder — especially since many altcoin rallies this year were built on leverage and hype (aka meme coins and airdrop farming).

  • Altseason? Not there yet.

  • Meme coin pumpers? On life support.

  • DeFi degens? Back to waiting tables.

3. The Trump Tariff Ticking Time Bomb

This tariff stuff isn’t going away — and if the March 4 tariff hike on Canada, Mexico, and China hits hard, traditional markets will probably puke again.

And since Bitcoin is still correlated to the S&P 500, guess who’s getting dragged down with the ship?

  • Tariff headlines = instant market volatility.

  • China-related crypto FUD could also rear its ugly head (remember mining bans? Yeah, that kind of chaos loves a comeback).

  • Short-term: tariffs = risk-off = bad for crypto.

  • Long-term? If tariffs slow down global trade, recession fears spike = central banks may have to ease up on rate hikes = potential future tailwind for Bitcoin.

4. Extreme Fear = The Setup for Reversal (Eventually)

Here’s the upside: Fear & Greed Index at 21. When everyone’s scared out of their minds, the market loves to surprise us. Some potential catalysts for a relief rally:

  • A surprise dovish Fed speech (if economic data starts to crack).

  • Tariff headlines softening (maybe Trump remembers elections are coming and wants to look nice for the stock market).

  • Institutions deciding that Bitcoin under $80K is actually a steal (this tends to happen when sentiment hits rock bottom).

The Big Picture

  • Next 1-2 weeks: Chop city, likely testing $76K-$78K, maybe even dipping into the low $70Ks if panic hits full volume.

  • Mid-March: Macro data (jobs, inflation, Fed talk) will decide if we bounce back or sink deeper.

  • Late March into April: If fear is still maxed out and Bitcoin’s holding above $70K, we could start seeing serious bottoming action — especially if TradFi players feel comfy reloading risk.

Final Take

Short-term = ugly.
Medium-term = potential for a relief rally if panic cools off.
Long-term = nothing has fundamentally changed for Bitcoin’s bull case. Adoption is still growing. And governments still love printing money when things go wrong.

My advice? Strap in. It’s gonna be a bumpy few weeks — but if you’ve survived Luna, FTX, and 3AC, you’ve got this. đź’Ş

Also, one simple factor like China printing money could change EVERYTHING in a matter of days and turn this completely upside down.

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.